Primary fight brewing after redistricting

If the maps stay the same, it’s looking more and more like two veteran Democratic congressmen could end up vying for the opportunity to represent the good people of the North Carolina 4th Congressional District, which now extends from Burlington to Fayetteville.
From the story in the Indy’s Triangulator blog

When redistricting plans shifted his Raleigh residence into the 4th Congressional District, Congressman Brad Miller, who represents the state’s 13th Congressional District, said he did not envision himself getting into a primary fight with Democratic colleague, David Price of Chapel Hill.

But after taking a hard look at the composition of the new 4th, Miller says he is now strongly considering running for the 4th if the current maps hold. The five-term congressman said neither he nor Price has a right to claim the new district outright.

(Note: I expect at some point soon to have a long talk with Congressman Price about this as well, but for now he didn’t seem to be eager to discuss it.)

Breaking down the NC congressional races

This month’s column is a table setter, breaking down the North Carolina congressional elections district by district based on the new maps and candidates leaning toward a run. As noted, the districts may change, but for now here’s how things are looking.

New congressional districts set up 2012 races: Advantage, Republicans

In print and on line in the Independent Weekly

North Carolina is proving to be a key state in the GOP strategy to maintain control of the U.S. House. Now that redistricting has set the table, the party and outside groups are preparing to pour enormous resources into close races to unseat Democratic incumbents now in less favorable districts.

Republican leaders are counting on picking up seats in North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia and other states where they’ve been able to command the redistricting process in order to offset expected losses in Illinois and California.

Hagan answers the call

Politico gives Kay Hagan props for taking phone calls as promised:

Kay Hagan picks up the phone

In what was a brave undertaking – and a lovely photo op – the North Carolina Democrat kept her word and answered the phones in her Washington office for about an hour and a half.

WRAL live coverage of Senate abortion law debate

The NC Senate takes up several issues in what could be the last day of the special session, including H854, which imposes a 24 hour waiting period and other restrictions and requirements on abortion.
It was just announced that Sen. Stan Bingham, who voted against the bill and was at the NCGA during the day, now has an excused absence. If he’s walked, it means the GOP probably has enough votes to override Governor Perdue’s veto. Twenty nine votes are needed.

Sea change

This month’s Exile on Jones Street column, published Wednesday July 20 in the Independent Weekly, is about the changes in public policy as a result of the recent session of the North Carolina General Assembly.

New laws and fewer rules spell major changes for the N.C. coast

We’re at the height of beach season and it’s full tilt vacationland up and down the strands. This is when most of us experience a little of life on the North Carolina coast.

It’s also harvest time, and the locals are concentrating on gathering those tourist dollars. Early summer has been a challenge. Wildfire season, which normally dies out in early June, lingered well into July, and massive fires inland have choked residents and visitors from Wrightsville Beach to Corolla.

The thick smoke from coastal wildfires rolled through Raleigh about the time the Legislature wrapped up a session that inflicted major changes on the policies and politics that shape the changing coastline. Wildfires are part of the ecology of the coastal plain, and the scorched pocosin will soon recover. The same recovery may not be true for the region if predictions about what was set in motion this session hold true.

The 2010 elections ushered in not just a Republican majority in the Legislature, but also a remade legislative delegation for coastal North Carolina; two key Senate seats and a handful of House seats went Republican for the first time.

The win spelled the end of an era when coastal policy was shaped mainly in the office of former Senate President Pro Tem Marc Basnight, who retired for health reasons in January. In his 26 years in the Legislature, the Manteo Democrat was no great foe of coastal development, but he can be credited at least with trying to manage it and for attempting to balance the interests of traditional industries like fishing and tourism and the burgeoning build-out on the shore.

One of his signature issues was the Clean Water Management Trust Fund, which dedicates $100 million each year for water quality and preservation throughout the state. The money has helped protect estuaries and shellfish habitats from the impact of coastal development.

What happened to the trust fund is indicative of the shift in priorities and a harbinger of the future for progressive environmental policies. To help cover the budget shortfall, the trust fund was first hit for $50 million annually in Gov. Bev Perdue’s proposed budget, then shaved further to $12.5 million by GOP budget writers in the Legislature–an 88.5 percent cut. The fund’s future is unclear, but the message to environmentalists is not.

Add the other fruits of the session–offshore drilling proposals, cuts to research, the approval of terminal groins (a kind of underwater jetty that reduces wave action)–and a rush to dismantle environmental regulation and enforcement: You can understand why longtime advocates for the coast worry that the Legislature has jeopardized years of progress in managing the formidable forces of both human and nature.

HUMAN FORCES: When the housing bubble burst, the rapidly growing areas along the state’s southeastern coast tallied some of the biggest losses. A News & Observer report in late February by Jay Price found that since 2006, near the height of the bubble, property values in Carteret and Brunswick counties had dropped by $12 billion–more than 25 percent. Waterfront and near-waterfront properties, the article says, plunged even more.

For now, the brakes are on development, but for environmental advocates like N.C. Coastal Federation Executive Director Todd Miller, there’s little doubt the economic forces that have reshaped the coastline for decades will soon resume their work.

Miller, who founded the federation in 1982, says plenty of projects are already in the pipeline. “We’re sitting on a 20-year supply of developments,” he says.

Under what rules these projects will be built and how their impacts will be monitored is now a question mark. “The worry is, are we going to have a facade of environmental protection, something that’s not real,” Miller says.

The passage of regulatory reform and limits on the crafting of new environmental rules, he says, will eliminate agencies’ ability to be agile in designing new regulations and redrafting old rules, many of which were implemented in the 1970s and ’80s.

“We won’t be able to adjust programs to deal with emerging demands,” he says. “That means the rules we have will have to suffice. If they’re found to be inadequate, it will be impossible to change them.”

The continued defunding of the N.C. Department of Environment and Natural Resources, he says, will also severely impact its ability to handle demands of development, including long-term monitoring of storm water systems and other infrastructure.

“Going into this, what we had was not a panacea,” Miller says, “but the change is pretty severe.” Read more