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Elon Poll on Congressional elections

From the Elon Poll. More Data here.
Interesting spread of numbers on how people feel about their representatives. Considering the number of safe seats in the state, there are strong hints of anti-incumbency. There’s also a clear Democratic swing among people willing to say how they’ll vote. Still a lot of uncertainty out there, though—or people ain’t saying.
Please tell me how much confidence you, yourself, have in your Representative in Congress (in the United States House of Representatives)? [a lot, some, not much, or none at all]
No Confidence At All 12.6
Not Much Confidence 22.6
Some Confidence 43.4
A Lot of Confidence 14.6
Don’t Know 6.7
Refused .2
Total (649) 100.0

Would you say that lately your confidence in your Representative in Congress (in the United States House of Representatives) has [increased, decreased, or remained the same]?
Decreased 31.1
Remained the Same 56.9
Increased 6.5
Don’t Know 5.2
Refused .3
Total (649) 100.0
Which party did you support in the last presidential election?
Democrat 43.0
Republican 46.4
Other 5.9
Don’t Know 2.5
Refused 2.3
Total (649) 100.0

Which party will you support in the next congressional election?
Democrat 35.5
Republican 29.6
Other 6.2
Don’t Know 27.4
Refused 1.3
Total (649) 100.0

Since we’re talking the next election for Congress, do you think you will be voting to replace your current representative, consider voting for someone else of the same party, or vote for your current representative?

Vote for Current Representative (Incumbent) 33.7
Consider Voting for Someone Else of the Same Party 30.1
Replace Current Representative 24.4
Don’t Know 11.3
Refused .5
Total (649) 100.0

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  1. Exile on Jones Street / TWC: A talk with Jerry Meek and a look at the Elon Poll